The Human Rights Campaign (HRC), one of the nation’s most powerful LGBT lobbying organizations, is openly declaring that LGBT voters will explode from roughly 10% of the electorate in the 2026 midterms to a staggering 20% by 2040.
The far-left organization is also sitting on a record $15 million electoral war chest aimed squarely at flipping Republican-held House seats and undermining the Trump administration in the upcoming midterms.
The Post Millennial reports:
The comments came in response to California Governor Gavin Newsom moderating his stance with male children identifying as transgender and playing in girls’ sports. When asked by Politico about the how Newsom has appeared to change his stance, HRC President Kelley Robinson said, “As a baseline, anybody that wants to be president in 2028 needs to stand for the civil rights and protections of every person in this country. And yes, that includes trans people.”
“Look, LGBTQ+ people are a growing demographic. We’re going to be 10% of the electorate this year, 20% of the electorate by 2040. We are a powerful constituency, and we’re going to demand that folks who want to represent us represent all of us,” she added.
Robinson laid out HRC’s vision going forward for the midterm election cycle as well for Democrats to get their messaging right, for those in the LBTQ community. The group is looking to flip eight seats currently held by Republicans, which includes districts currently served by Reps. David Schweikert, Juan Ciscomani, David Valadao, Darrell Issa, Tom Barrett, Mike Lawler, Ryan Mackenzie, and Rob Bresnahan.
The $15 million investment, described by HRC as its largest-ever non-presidential-cycle spending, will target eight specific Republican-held House districts, fund heavy advertising, grassroots canvassing, and mobilization efforts, and support Democratic candidates in key states including Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Texas.
HRC claims the money will help “flip the House,” expand the number of openly LGBTQ elected officials, and defeat anti-LGBTQ ballot measures nationwide.
The group’s polling shows 92% of LGBT registered voters say they will “definitely vote” in November 2026, far higher than the 68% of non-LGBT voters who say the same.
HRC also claims it has identified more than 74 million “equality voters” whom it intends to turn out, according to a Politico interview.
However, HRC’s projections rely heavily on self-identification trends among younger generations, claiming nearly 30% of Gen Z now identify as LGBT, and assume continued rapid growth without accounting for potential cultural pushback or stabilization of identification rates.
“November is coming, and voters are ready to get free from hate, free from discrimination, free from the chaos holding this country back,” said HRC President Kelley Robinson in a press release. “Since being elected, the Trump Administration has ignored the pressing needs of American families and instead made it their mission to undermine freedom and equality at every turn. They have unleashed masked agents to kidnap and kill people on the streets, slashed funding for health care, including HIV support, kicked out transgender servicemembers, found seemingly endless resources to drop bombs but empty pockets for the things people need most, and turned to scapegoating and terrorizing LGBTQ+ people every time the wheels are coming off. We, the people, have had enough.
“LGBTQ+ voters are more motivated than they’ve ever been to make their voices heard at the ballot box, and HRC’s electoral plan will ensure that the 74 million Equality Voters across the country will deliver the winning margins in competitive races across the country. The time is now for us to mobilize, organize, and turn our grassroots energy into a voting force that cannot be denied. Let’s get free, y’all.”
The organization has faced repeated accusations of prioritizing transgender ideology over broader gay and lesbian concerns, especially in recent years.
HRC has long been one of the most influential progressive advocacy groups in Washington, with a massive donor base that includes major corporations, Hollywood elites, and billionaire philanthropists.
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