CNN’s Senior Data Reporter, Harry Enten/Image: Video screenshot CNN
CNN’s Senior Data Reporter, Harry Enten, couldn’t hold back the laughter when revealing just how low Congressional Democrats’ ratings have fallen. Enten noted that, in the minds of the American public, they “are lower than the Dead Sea.”
Harry Enten: Democrats in the minds of the American public are lower than the Dead Sea. What are we talking about here? Well, let’s take a look.
The net approval rating for Democrats in Congress, you said it, Kate Bolduan, the lowest ever. Look at this: Overall, they are 55 points underwater. Their approval rating is south of 20%. It’s even worse when you look at Independence. Look at this. Negative 61 points.
That means that their approval rating is 61 points lower than their disapproval rating. Quinnipiac has been polling this question for the better part of the 21st century. They have never found Democrats, at least those in Congress, in worse shape than they are right now.
Kate Bolduan: That’s Independence in overall, but what about Democrats on Democrats?
Harry Enten: Yeah, what about Democrats on Democrats? So part of the reason overall is so low is Independents are driving it low. But that’s not the only reason it’s so low. What about Democrats on Democrats? Democrats, net approval rating of Congressional Democrats.
I want you to keep in mind, they had never rated Democrats negatively until this year.
Right now, what are we talking about? We’re talking about a net approval rating from Democrats. This is Democrats on Democrats. Their approval rating is actually lower, lower than the disapproval rating. And that is quite the drop from October. I think during the shutdown, there was a bit of a boost for Democrats. There was a rallying around the flag effect going on.
But Democrats did not like how that shutdown turned out. They have re-turned against Democrats in Congress. You mentioned Dan Goldman in that intro. One of the reasons that Dan Goldman is in trouble right now in a potential primary against Brad Ladner is because at this point, the Democratic base is so upset with Democrats. So even if Democrats take back Congress, don’t be surprised if Dan Goldman ain’t there because of numbers like this one.
Kate Bolduan: This is quite a shift that you’re looking at here. I mean, so this gets to the midterms, of course. What does this do to Democrats’ chances of taking back majorities in Congress?
Harry Enten: Yeah, we’re talking about it. You mentioned it. What is this? 22, 6. That’s a 28-point decline falling through the floor. But of course, the question is, can Democrats still take back Congress, even with their ratings as low as this?
The answer is yes, but in my mind, it’s definitely hurting them.
Why do I say that? Because take a look at the generic Congressional ballot with a Republican President at this point. Look, Democrats are ahead, but they’re only ahead by four points. Historically, that is quite weak.
At this point, in the 2017/2018 cycle was more than doubled out of 10 points. The same back during George W Bush’s second term in office, where you saw, of course, the Democrats were also ahead by 10 points.
So we’re talking about a lead of less than half what we normally expect. And I think that’s why at this point, there are a lot of Democrats who might be thinking, ‘Hey, we can spike that ball in the end zone.’ But the numbers at this point say, ‘Hold on just a minute. Yes, you’re on your way to a congressional majority, but it’s still a long time.’ With numbers like this, considerably weaker, then historically speaking, it might be a tougher road to hoe than normally.
Kate Bolduan: Especially if you see that change from October.
Harry Enten: Yeah. When you see your base going a 28-point shift, and when you see numbers like this, you see this overall.
Kate Bolduan: A lot can change.
Harry Enten: A lot can change. At this point, you know what? Democrats are hoping that Donald Trump’s unpopularity can ride them to a congressional majority. But you know what? When you have numbers like this, hold the phone just a second.
Watch:
Cong Dems now have a -55 net approval, an all-time low & lower than the Dead Sea.
2 causes: Dems gives them a -6 pt net approval(!), & they’re at -61 pts with indies!
The effect? Dems lead on the generic ballot is less than half of what it was at this pt in the 06 & 18 cycles. pic.twitter.com/Os17D7BkHR
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) December 18, 2025
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